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Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Chuck Schumer Faces Shutdown Dilemma: Can He Lead Democrats Out of This Crisis?


Chuck Schumer Faces Shutdown Dilemma: Can He Lead Democrats Out of This Crisis?

With a government shutdown just two days away, Chuck Schumer and Senate Democrats find themselves in a difficult situation, but some are starting to explore a potential way out.

Publicly, Schumer, the Senate minority leader, and many of his Democratic colleagues are firm in their stance, refusing to provide votes for a House GOP funding bill while pushing for a vote on an alternative plan. However, behind closed doors, some Senate Democrats are signaling a willingness to support the House bill—funding the government through September—in exchange for a vote on their preferred 30-day stopgap measure. This approach would allow them to help clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold, even if they ultimately oppose the bill during the final vote.

This emerging strategy comes as Schumer has been holding a series of meetings with his caucus, which have sometimes been so heated that discussions were overheard outside the room. The challenge for Schumer is to unite his members, many of whom have differing opinions on how to handle the situation. Some fear that a shutdown would play into the hands of President Trump and Elon Musk. At the same time, outside groups and even fellow Democrats are pressuring Schumer and his colleagues to reject the House GOP bill, even if it means closing the government.

Where Senate Democrats land on this issue will reveal much about their approach to their current political reality, with Republicans controlling both chambers of Congress and the presidency. They are under pressure from the left to leverage their limited power to slow down Trump’s early-term agenda, but they also want to avoid being blamed for a shutdown that could damage their political standing.

The first test for Schumer and Senate Democrats will come on Friday, when Republicans will hold the first vote to advance the House GOP funding bill. Democrats will need to either confirm that the House GOP bill does not have the necessary 60 votes to move forward or reach an agreement with Senate leaders on a compromise that they can support.

On Wednesday, Schumer worked to unify his caucus, advocating for a short-term spending patch while criticizing the House GOP bill. After discussing the issue with his members at a Democratic caucus lunch, Schumer took to the Senate floor to state that Republicans do not currently have the 60 votes needed to advance the bill.

“Our caucus is united behind a clean April 11 continuing resolution (CR) that will keep the government open and give Congress time to negotiate a bipartisan solution,” Schumer said. “I hope our Republican colleagues will join us to avoid a shutdown on Friday.”

However, behind the scenes, Schumer is preparing to shift strategy and avoid a confrontation. After hearing feedback from his caucus, Schumer seems ready to guide his members toward supporting the House bill in exchange for a vote on the 30-day stopgap bill, which would be attached as an amendment. This strategy is an effort to maintain party unity while trying to secure a few Republican votes against the longer stopgap measure.

“This strategy emerged after he listened to everyone yesterday,” said Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.), noting that Schumer began Wednesday's meeting by saying, “‘I listened to all of you yesterday,’” and then endorsed the emerging strategy. “I think it was a productive discussion and a good idea,” Kaine added, praising Schumer for allowing his members to voice their opinions without forcing a decision prematurely.

Although nothing is finalized, Schumer has yet to publicly confirm that Democrats would assist in advancing the House bill if given a vote on the short-term extension. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) indicated that Republicans have not yet received any formal offer from Senate Democrats, though he expressed openness to continued discussions.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) revealed that, according to his understanding, Democrats would support a vote on their alternative stopgap measure if Republicans allowed it as an amendment to the House bill. "I think we would have 60 votes to advance the House GOP bill," Blumenthal said.

This strategy is emerging amid concerns over the potential fallout from a government shutdown. “If you shut down the government,” said Sen. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.), “Trump will decide, without any safeguards, what gets reopened, what doesn’t, and how long he keeps the government shut down for his own gain.”

Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) echoed these concerns, adding that with figures like Elon Musk already wielding influence, a shutdown could result in an unelected billionaire having a significant say in which government services are restored.

However, as Schumer navigates these concerns, there is growing pressure from progressives to oppose the House GOP bill. House Democrats have nearly unanimously opposed the measure, and their stance provides Senate Democrats with political cover to reject it as well.

Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.), vice chair of the House Democratic caucus, warned that any vote to fund the government would ultimately empower Trump and Musk. “We’re asking Senate Democrats to vote ‘no,’” Lieu said.

Democratic Whip Katherine Clark added, “We’re standing on the side of working families,” urging Senate Democrats to align with them in opposing the House GOP bill.

Contributing to this report: Katherine Tully-McManus, Jennifer Scholtes, Nicholas Wu, and Mia McCarthy.

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